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Archinomics Weekly - Monday 22nd November 2021

2 years ago

the
MARKETS

Equities

US equity indices were mixed, with growth sectors outperforming. European indices were little changed, despite the rapid climb in Covid-19 infection rates. Japanese markets were steady in advance of a new stimulus programme, while China shrugged off a fund-raising round from its beleaguered property sector.

Bonds

US Treasury bonds rallied a little as the week ended, on reports of further pandemic lockdowns in Europe, where a similar pattern was seen in core Eurozone markets. In the corporate bond markets, high levels of investment grade issuance was easily absorbed, while high yield bonds were pulled lower by the energy sector.

Currencies

The US dollar hit a sixteen-month high, as both the euro and the yen weakened in response to indications from their respective central banks of a prolonged dovish stance.

Commodities

Oil prices moderated somewhat, while natural gas prices in Europe touched €100, as Germany put approval of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline on the back burner.

Responsible investing

President Biden’s $1.75 trillion ‘Build Back Better’ stimulus package, featuring social security and climate impact measures, was passed by the House of Representatives.

MACROECONOMIC
UPDATE

US October retail sales jumped 1.7%, the strongest gain since March, while September data were revised higher.


The European Central Bank promised 'patience' on interest rate policy, as Eurozone October CPI inflation hit 4.1%.


Japan announced a fiscal stimulus package worth $690 billion, acknowledging its relatively slow rebound from the Covid-19 pandemic.

on the
RADAR

Flash PMI data from around the world are expected to indicate improvements in the Manufacturing sector, while the Services sector could show widespread declines.


Trading is likely to remain quiet ahead of the Thanksgiving Day market holiday in the US on Thursday.

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Architas

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Central banks in developed markets reinforced the message that rates will need to stay high for some considerable time to bring inflation back to target, dashing hopes of substantial cuts next year. In contrast, Brazil cut rates for the second time this cycle, while Poland lowered borrowing costs for the first time in more than three years.

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